As reported in the New York Times, a Heritage Foundation analysis of Commerce Department data finds that U.S. Nowhere is this more evident than in steel and aluminum markets, where Trump is proposing to fire his opening protectionist salvo. Our jobs and incomes are tied up in highly interdependent, cross-border supply and production chains that go into making food, manufactured goods, and increasingly services.Īs my Brookings colleague Joe Parilla noted last spring, more than half of North American trade occurs in intermediate goods-materials or components that companies import and integrate into the production of a final good. The classic image of trade as one country “selling” something to another doesn’t accurately describe the economic reality of trade in the Midwest. But it will cost more.” An interdependent production platform It will hurt our ability to compete globally. A Michigan Big Three auto executive whose job is to accurately project global sales and profits told me, “We are bracing for whatever changes are made. Naturally, American auto, manufacturing, and agricultural executives and workers in those companies are nervous about an escalating trade war that could cut off these markets. And Pennsylvania is the top state for exports of transportation equipment and confections to our North American neighbors. Canada is the leading importer of Wisconsin goods. The share of Michigan’s exports to Mexico ranks third-highest in the country. These totals include export-reliant firms and workers in three Midwestern states crucial to Trump’s margin of victory in the Electoral College. exports to Canada, and 21 percent of all U.S. These nations are leading export markets for the 11 Midwestern states, which together account for 48 percent of all U.S. As prior Brookings analysis shows, “Trump Country,” particularly the communities of the Rust Belt, has been more affected by trade-related dislocations but also relies more on exports for jobs than other parts of the country.Īt stake in the NAFTA talks are giant export markets for Heartland producers in Canada and Mexico. And the Rust Belt is at the center of this export economy, generating 26 percent of export-derived GDP (Figure 1). economy, today representing 12.3 percent of U.S. make products that are made from steel, than make steel itself.” The Midwest depends on NAFTA-enabled tradeĮxports contribute significantly to the U.S. As Economic Outlook Group chief economist Bernard Baumohl put it, “More workers in the U.S. The early consensus is that the tariffs would cost many more jobs than they will keep or create. Find out what the teams proposed after the break.But Trump’s proposed tariffs, which many see as his latest negotiating tactic to make Mexico and Canada accept his demands on NAFTA, are unlikely to help these Midwestern voters and their communities. After receiving 43 entries from 17 countries, a jury of local architects selected three exceptional proposals and five honorable mentions. The winning proposals range widely from a stylized village of housing, to the creation of enormous urban farms, to the construction of an innovation park featuring a series of vast artificial lakes. Proposals had to take the adjacent neighborhoods into consideration, with the ultimate goal of bridging gaps between disparate communities at opposite ends of the property. In response to Kenosha's Chrysler problem, a team of urbanists, architects and researchers known as Urban Design for Everyone (UD4U) launched a global competition to reinvigorate the former industrial property. Located adjacent to a densely populated suburban development, the 107-acre property begs the question: what can be done with such a massive piece of land? The factory has since been demolished and is now at the beginning of a five-year cleanup. In 2010, shortly after the beginning of the global economic crisis, Chrysler closed a sprawling engine factory in Kenosha, Wisconsin. The prolific ruins of the largest abandoned factory in North America, Detroit's Packard Motor Plant, have served as an emblem for dozens of similar plants dotting the landscapes of cities across the continent. Across industrial North America, many small working class cities are faced with a plethora of abandoned property due to the downfall of the automotive industry.
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